If she had a second — between the celebration of a profitable election marketing campaign, travelling to Tokyo for a assembly with world leaders lower than 48 hours later, then to Fiji — Penny Wong might need paused to take into account the twists and turns of politics.
Thirteen years in the past, as Kevin Rudd’s climate change minister, she labored by way of the evening for 2 nights on the United Nations climate change convention in Copenhagen, catching energy naps on a blow-up mattress, making an attempt to push Australia’s case for worldwide motion on climate change.
It did not occur, in fact. Negotiations collapsed in a manner summarised by her then prime minister in an immortal quote captured by David Marr in his Quarterly Essay, Power Trip, as “those Chinese f**kers are trying to rat-f**k us”.
This week as newly minted Foreign Minister Wong was on the world stage. This time she was not making an attempt to persuade the remainder of the world they need to do one thing about climate change.
She was making an attempt to persuade the remainder of the world that a new government would do one thing about Australia’s personal woeful document within the intervening interval, and finish the earlier government’s willingness to do to an worldwide climate accord what Rudd accused China of doing in 2009.
It’s been a week through which the new government didn’t simply have to set down markers in a very totally different worldwide strategic setting to the one it confronted in 2007.
It had to begin peeling away from all these positions it took because it tacked shut to the Coalition as a part of its small goal marketing campaign technique.
Unedifying spectacle and a jarring revelation
For the Coalition, there was the unedifying spectacle of MPs and senators — each those that survived and those that didn’t — rising to say that the issue was that voters did not perceive their insurance policies, or that they personally did not really imagine within the insurance policies their government has pursued for nearly a decade. Alternatively, they blithely proceeded to conduct day-to-day politics as if nothing notable had occurred final Saturday.
It was arduous not to draw the conclusion that the Liberals have learnt nothing from the election, persevering with the generally idiotic mantras, with the identical chutzpah, we now have develop into accustomed to.
Less than 24 hours earlier than polling closed, information experiences emerged that boats carrying asylum seekers had been intercepted — one off the coast of Sri Lanka, one off Christmas Island — by Border Force.
Scott Morrison was more than pleased to verify this at a doorstop on election day, subsequently backed up by a assertion from Border Force which, as ABC defence correspondent Andrew Greene revealed on Friday, was on the instruction of the (outgoing) prime minister’s workplace. This assertion was then used to justify textual content messages being despatched to voters warning them that the one manner to safe the border was to vote Liberal.
The revelation jarred with all of these sanctimonious press conferences over time — beginning with Morrison — the place ministers primly insisted they could not remark on “on water matters”.
In his political desperation, the now former prime minister proved himself prepared to even trash the method he had taken which had first marked him out for point out when the Coalition took government in 2013.
Many of Morrison’s inside circle have misplaced their seats on this election. But his closest political ally, Stuart Robert, was on the radio on Friday morning rejecting the concept that the order for Border Force to launch the assertion had breached the caretaker conventions and correct course of.
He could not remark on it, he mentioned, “having not been involved, but I think all Australians understand Labor by virtue of history is incredibly weak on boat arrivals”.
So, even after being in workplace for nearly a decade, the most effective a former Coalition cupboard minister may do when confronted by an appalling politicisation of a course of his personal aspect had lengthy described as holy writ, was to prosecute a case in opposition to the government earlier than his government that had simply misplaced the election.
As if the Coalition hasn’t simply been devastated in its heartland and there may be a trigger for pause, for reflection, for some indication that the voters might have despatched a message.
The astonishing a part of the story
In the western districts of Victoria, Malcolm Fraser’s old seat of Wannon, held by Dan Tehan, has been teetering on the sting of being taken by a younger unbiased, Alex Dyson.
The psephologists predict that Tehan will ultimately prevail, simply. If he does, it will likely be the one seat left of a former Liberal prime minister — aside from the latest incumbent — that has not been misplaced to the celebration.
The seats of Malcolm Turnbull, Tony Abbott, John Howard, Billy McMahon (similar space, reconstructed citizens), John Gorton and Bob Menzies are all now held by Labor or independents.
It’s not simply traditions the celebration has misplaced. It is the votes of the individuals who as soon as financed the celebration. It is the votes of people who find themselves from the enterprise group.
The Liberal Party is, it appears, now not the celebration of enterprise however of some arduous to clearly outline group of voters in a hotchpotch of seats throughout the nation, however not within the inside cities.
The focus on the “teal” independents in final Saturday’s election as essentially the most conspicuous indicators of how the ballot has remodeled Australian politics tends to overshadow all the opposite issues that occurred on the day.
Overall, the Coalition suffered — primarily based on the depend as of Friday — a swing in opposition to it of 5.3 per cent, in accordance to the ABC’s Antony Green: a larger swing than the 4.6 per cent in opposition to Labor in 2013, or in opposition to John Howard in 2007.
The astonishing a part of the story, although, is that Labor gained nothing in web phrases from this. In truth, there was a marginal swing in opposition to Labor.
Big questions for the majors and the independents
While Labor’s vote languished, the Greens loved a swing to them of 1.3 per cent. The Coalition’s vote disappeared amid a 10.4 per cent swing to independents (greater than 1.3 million votes) — teal and in any other case — in addition to to One Nation and to Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party.
Pauline Hanson’s celebration stood candidates in seats throughout the nation this time round and picked up nearly all of the precise of centre second celebration vote. But typically, in the identical electorates, voters have been peeling off Labor and voting for the Greens.
Take the NSW seat of Cunningham. With a retiring Labor MP, Sharon Bird, eradicating any benefit of incumbency, there was a 6.3 per cent swing in opposition to Labor, a 5.8 per cent swing in opposition to the Liberal candidate, a 6.3 per cent swing to the Greens, a 4.97 per cent swing to One Nation and a 1 per cent swing to Palmer’s UAP.
It’s maybe why Labor’s victory elation has felt a lot extra muted than 2007.
The main events face huge questions now about how they deal with the wave of independents who mirror folks getting engaged in politics once more, however focusing very a lot on their native consultant.
Equally, the independents should discover a manner of making certain that the large expectations constructed up round what they will obtain could be realised.
Laura Tingle is 7.30’s chief political correspondent.
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As a new government attempts to unpick Australia’s climate document, an old one carries on with chutzpah & More Latest News Update
As a new government attempts to unpick Australia’s climate document, an old one carries on with chutzpah & More Live News
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